Step-by-step: di Bond spread
$140 pon high, $50 pon di six line 13–18, $10 pon zero: $200 a spin, 25 numba cover. Di James Bond spread fi twenty spin.
A simulate session a 20 spin wid di spread dem sell as di James Bond strategy. Twelve win a $80, tree six-line hit a $100, one zero fi $160, an four loss a $200 pon 1–12. Net +$620, an neva down more dan $40. Di spread cover bout two third a di wheel. Wen one a di numba weh nuh cover land, di whole $200 stake gone.
Di plan
Pon a European table: $140 pon 19–36, $50 pon di six linebet demSix lineSix numba inna two row weh deh side by side, pay 5:1. Inna French: sixain.Read di whole ting → 13–18, $10 pon zeropon di wheelZeroDi one green pocket weh no even-money, dozen or column bet nuh cover; a weh di house edge come fram. Nex name: single zero, 0.Read di whole ting →. Twenty-five numba cover. A high numba pay $140 an lose $60: +$80. A six-line numba pay $250 an lose $150: +$100. Zero pay $350 an lose $190: +$160. Any a 1–12 lose evryting: −$200. Expected valuemathsExpected valueDi average result pon evry bet inna di long run. −1/37 a di stake fi evry standard European bet.Read di whole ting → evry spin a (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, an dat a 2.70% a $200. Di spread a a flat bet inna costume.
Spin 1–10
19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. Six high, one six-line, one zero, two loss: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. Balance +$340 afta ten spin, wid two losin spin weh tek $200 each. Di zero at spin 6 pay $160, an dat a di only time a zero feel like a fren.
Spin 11–20
5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. Two loss inna di fus six spin pull di balance back to +$280; den tree high an a six line close di session at +$620. Twenty spin: 12 high, 3 six-line hit, 1 zero, 4 loss. Expected net did a −$108; actual +$620, bout 1.2 standard deviationmathsStandard deviationDi square root a variance; ow far a result usually deh fram di expected value.Read di whole ting → above expectation, a good night.
- p10 −$2,000
- p25 −$2,000
- median −$2,000
- p75 −$2,000
- p90 +$780
Di account
Total bet $4,000 inna twenty spin. Expected lossmathsExpected lossExpected value times all di money yuh bet; di average amount yuh lose ova a session or a period (di loss yuh fi expec pon average).Read di whole ting → $108. Di standard deviation a one single spin a bout $135, suh twenty spin have a standard deviation a bout $605; +$620 or betta a a one-inna-nine night. Di same twenty spin at $200 flat pon redbet demRedEven-money bet pon di 18 red numba. Inna French: rouge.Read di whole ting → woulda have di same expectation an a wider distribution (σ ≈ $200 evry spin): di spread a lower variancemathsVarianceA measure a ow wide di result dem spread roun di expected value. High fi straight up, low fi even-money bet.Read di whole ting → dan a even-money betbet demEven-money betRed/black, odd/even, high/low. 18 numba, pay 1:1.Read di whole ting → cause it win more often an smaller.
Wah di session show
Di Bond spread a tree bet weh expectation add up to −1/37 a di total, like evry combination a standard bet. Di real ting it have a coverage: a 67.6% win rate mek a evenin feel like a system. Di 32.4% a spin weh lose tek $200 each, an ova a long run dem tek exactly wah di arithmetic seh. No matter di name, it nuh inna Fleming novel dem: fi him Bond back two dozenbet demDozen1–12, 13–24 or 25–36, pay 2:1.Read di whole ting →. Di strategy pamphlet dem do di res.
Question dem
Di high bet a even money, suh pon a French table it lose only $70 pon zero instead a $140, an a zero net +$230 instead a +$160. Blended edge bout 1.8%. Betta, an still negative.
Di proportion dem roughly mek di win dem even: $80, $100, $160. Any proportion gi di same edge.
Yes. Yuh stake $200 pon di same 25 numba evry spin. Nedda di amount nor di numba dem change afta a win or a loss.
Sumting fi laugh
Two third a di wheel. One third a di time, evryting.
Source dem
- Fleming, I. Casino Royale.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.