Step-by-step · Step-by-step · 7 minute

Step-by-step: a Paroli run

Ten dolla pon black, double afta evry win, an tek it down afta tree inna a row. Di reverse Martingale, spin by spin.

Short ansa

A simulate Paroli session a 80 spin. Thirteen loss pon di fus spin, twenty-four run weh bruk, an tree triple weh go all di way an pay $70 each. Net −$160 afta wi did up $50. Di system weh lose often an win rare, inna di shape di arithmetic seh.

base
$10 pon black
target
3 win inna a row
p(triple)
11.5%
net fi evry triple
+$70

Walk tru di system

A win move one step forward. A loss, or a third win, go back to di start.

124Win
nex stake1result till now0spin0

Stake an result deh inna unit a di base bet.

Di plan

Bet $10 pon blackbet demBlackEven-money bet pon di 18 black numba. Inna French: noir.Read di whole ting →. Afta a win, mek di $20 ride. Afta a second win, mek di $40 ride. Afta a third win, tek down di $80 an start again wid $10. A loss anywhere start yuh back at $10. Evry try risk $10 a wi own money an win $70 if black come tree time straight, an dat happen (18/37)³ = 11.5% a di time. Wi expec bout one run weh go all di way inna nine try.

Spin 1–25

R B B R R B R B B R B B R R B R 0 B B B B R B B R. Twelve try: four lose pon di fus spin (−$10 each, one a dem to zeropon di wheelZeroDi one green pocket weh no even-money, dozen or column bet nuh cover; a weh di house edge come fram. Nex name: single zero, 0.Read di whole ting →), tree lose pon di second spin (−$10 each, cause di $20 did a di house money plus fi wi), four lose pon di third spin (−$10 each, same way), one triple go all di way at spin 18–20 (+$70). Net −$40. Di run weh finish feel like proof. Di eleven weh fail feel like nutten, an a dat di design mean fi do.

trysequencestakenet
1R10−$10
2B B R10, 20, 40−$10
3R10−$10
4B R10, 20−$10
5B B R10, 20, 40−$10
6–9B B R · R · B R · 0≤ 40−$40
10B B B10, 20, 40 → $80 tek down+$70
11–12B R · B B R≤ 40−$20
afta 25 spin12 try, 1 triple−$40
One triple weh go all di way feel like proof; di eleven single chip weh lose pon di way feel like nutten.

Spin 26–55

Two more triple, at spin 28–30 an 37–39, each one part a a run a four black weh wi cash afta tree: di fourth black win di fresh $10 an di nex redbet demRedEven-money bet pon di 18 red numba. Inna French: rouge.Read di whole ting → tek di $20. Fifteen try, net fi di stretch +$10; runnin total −$30; top +$50 at spin 39. Tree triple inna 27 try a di 3.1 weh wi expec; at di top di session up $50 an feel like a method.

Dis session an nine more like itresult versus di start
+$980$0−$1,000+$400−$5000125250375500spinresult
1,000 session × 500 spin · violet p10/p25/p75/p90, light blue median, 82 faint sample · move ova di chart fi see di quantile dem at a spin
  • p10 −$780
  • p25 −$510
  • median −$210
  • p75 +$90
  • p90 +$370
1,000 session × 500 spin · y-axis cut to di 1st–99th percentile (di extreme dem: −$1,000 to +$1,570) · 500 spin · $10 base · even-money bet
Most line drif down inna $10 step an jump up $70 now an den. Di average a di ten a di flat bettor average: −2.70% a evryting weh stake.

Spin 56–80

Thirteen losin try inna a row, nine a dem pon di second or third spin, weh di ride end one or two black short. Net −$130 fi di stretch; final −$160. Dat run a failure have a probabilitymathsProbabilityDi chance fi a result, fram 0 to 1 or 0% to 100%. One numba: 1/37 = 2.70%.Read di whole ting → a bout 20%, an dat mean it wi happen to a Parolistrategy demParoliPositive progression: double afta a win, start ova afta a loss or afta tree win straight. Nex name: reverse Martingale.Read di whole ting → playa roughly evry fifth session a dis length.

Di account

Total bet $1,460 ova 80 spin gainst $800 fi a flat $10 bettor: di ride dem add turnovermoney mattaTurnoverAll di money yuh bet ova a session or a period, countin di winnins yuh bet again (all di money yuh bet, roun afta roun). Nex name: handle, action.Read di whole ting →. Expected lossmathsExpected lossExpected value times all di money yuh bet; di average amount yuh lose ova a session or a period (di loss yuh fi expec pon average).Read di whole ting → pon $1,460 a $39; actual −$160 deh less dan one standard deviationmathsStandard deviationDi square root a variance; ow far a result usually deh fram di expected value.Read di whole ting → below, nutten strange. Di flat bettor beside wi did have di same expectation pon evry dolla an a result wid bout half di swing.

Flat bettin strategy fi roulette

Wah di session show

Paroli a Martingalestrategy demMartingaleProgression weh double di bet afta evry loss. Look inna di Strategy section fi see wah it do an wah it nuh do.Read di whole ting → turn upside down: it lose one unitmoney mattaUnitDi base stake weh a system or a playa work wid. Dem describe progression inna unit suh dem work at any table.Read di whole ting → most a di time an win seven unit now an den, instead a win one unit most a di time an lose sixty-tree now an den. Di distribution less dangerous cause di big numba a a win, nuh a loss, an di stake neva go ova $40, an only $10 a dat a fi wi. Di expected loss pon evry dolla nuh change. It a di betta system fi a playa weh waan variancemathsVarianceA measure a ow wide di result dem spread roun di expected value. High fi straight up, low fi even-money bet.Read di whole ting → widout a cliff, an it still cost 2.70% a turnover.

Question dem

Wah mek yuh tek it down afta tree an nuh four?

Four inna a row a 5.6% an pay $150. Di target a jus a taste; di edge same at evry target.

Di house money a fi di house fi true?

No. Afta one win di $20 pon di table a fi yuh. Paroli feel cheap cause wen yuh lose a ride it nuh look like yuh lose yuh own money. But a yuh own.

Paroli betta dan Martingale?

Same expectation, smaller top stake, nuh table-limit cliff. Betta inna evry way except di one weh matter, an dat one nuh change.

Sumting fi laugh

Lose small often, win big rare. Di reverse a Martingale, an di same price.

Lose small often, win big rare. Di reverse a Martingale, an di same price.

Source dem

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Chapter 13, roulette.
wi check it 2026-09-28model: European wheel, single zeroow wi work it out ↗source dem ↗