Tools · Calculator

Calculator fi risk a ruin

Di probability fi reach a profit target bifo yuh lose di whole bankroll, wen yuh flat-bet even money.

Bankroll
Bet
Target
reach di target
24.6%
ruin fus
75.4%
di target
+$250
unit (a / b)
50 / 25
spin yuh fi expec till it done
1,168
EV a di try
−$315.70
Ow fi read di result

If yuh bet $10 a time, yuh have a 24.6% chance fi tun $500 into $750 bifo yuh bruk. Bigga bet raise dat probability cause less spin mean yuh pay di 2.70% toll less time; but dem mek di ride wilder too. Try $100 bet gainst $5 bet fi see di effect.

Method an assumption dem
Gambla ruin wid p = 18/37: P(target) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = bankroll/bet, b = target/bet. Expected duration a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Only flat even-money bet.